I’ll make no secret of the fact that I haven’t (until now)
had a bet this week. My confidence was booted in the teeth last week and my ego
is still recovering from a somewhat jarring Glasgow Kiss. What’s to blame for
all of my negative feelings? Certainly not poor betting. My punting is clearly
A1. Obviously fate conspires against me. Fate wants me to jump in to the bath
with a toaster, yet I refuse. The Grim Reaper is evidently a fervent reader of
this blog and has decided my jests of suicide have gone too far, and schemes to
take me to the brink. Not this week however. This week it will be I holding the
scythe, and cutting down the bookies margins with gusto.
At the beginning of the week I didn't really fancy much in either
the PGA or European Tour events, so decided to leave it, with a view to check
in after 36 holes, and pick the value and lump. Well, not quite lump, because
as it turns out lumping the weekend before payday is relatively difficult,
given that the choice is basically lump or eat.
Given a choice between anything in the universe and eating,
I will almost always choose eating. When I was younger I read a lot of SAS
books, by Chris Ryan and Andy McNab, and most of the characters were obsessed
with food. The philosophy was always along the lines of: “You don’t know when
you’ll eat next, so if given the chance, eat.” This is something I practice at
every opportunity. I am unmistakably not in the SAS, nor am I on some kind of
CIA wet work black ops roster, so observing this mantra has its obvious
pit-falls, not that I trifle myself with such things. I am only concerned with
matters on a galactic scale, my thoughts filled with musings of the universe,
the likelihood of extra terrestrial existence (which seems to me a mathematical
certainty). I am certain that were aliens to come to our planet, we could
befriend them over a 18 holes at St Andrews, and then a few pints at the 19th.
I don’t imagine some HG Wells interpretation of alien contact, more of a trade
mission.
The aliens will offer the ability to travel faster than
light speed, and technologies we have never seen, and we’ll offer betting and
alcohol. Top traders from the best bookies and master brewers would quickly
become the Emissaries of Inter-Galactic Alliances, and in return for ethereal
enlightenment, we’ll teach and entire species how to ritually poison itself
with the most readily available drug on the market, and how to belt their Martian
domiciles away on the roulette at 5AM at the Universe’s largest super-casino,
just 5 light years from the Milky Way. Then, the once peace loving travelers
will turn to violence, and all out war will commence. After the former
emissaries are unceremoniously murdered,
a new alliance will be formed, on the Links. Rory, Ricky, Jordan and others
will champion a new Ryder Cup, Earth versus The Universe, played on a course of
random choosing.
I could go on, but at the risk of sounding self indulgent, I
won’t. I will however, tell you about my bet. Each way double on Lombard in the
Tropheé Hassan, and Mickleson in the Wells Fargo. Zander (Lombard) has put
together two rounds of 70, which is consistent. Even after some kind of awful
off the tee spell yesterday, he still managed to score two under for his round.
Age is on his side and the 21 year old should have the mental resilience to
bounce back and go low throughout the weekend.
The World Ranked 260th player brings form of
T26-T30-T50-T34-T7-2-T12-60-4 in to this tournament and is looking for his
maiden win that will cement his place on the European Tour. Even though he is
at such a heady number in the world rankings, the tournament can only boast one
player in the Top 100, Burmester, another South African chap. This means that
Zander comes in to this tournament in the top 20, and a top finish should be
easily attainable for him. The Royal Golf Dar Es Salam is similar to many South
African courses, with an emphasis on accuracy, and whilst Lombard ranks low on
driving and GIR, he seems to have found a step up this week and apart from a
brief spell, was striking the ball well. 12s seems very generous about this
soon to be superstar, and were swiftly snapped up.
Phil Mickleson is my other choice. The five time Major
winner has been putting in the hours recently with his swing and putting stroke,
and his short game remains as fiery as ever. The only Major Phil has not won is
the US Open, and that is around the corner. Oakmont is touted as one of the
most brutal golf courses ever devised and Phil must be thinking about that. Watching
Phil play yesterday harked backed to the days of domination. He was bolting in
putts and driving well, and looked for all intents and purposes to be in good
form again.
Apologies to the players at the top of the board, but I do
not rate -8 as the leading score. I don’t see any of the 4 players occupying
the top 3 scores as serious weekend contenders, and perceive the leading score
as -5, which in my book makes Phil tied for the lead, which makes 9s for him to
win an excellent price. Unfortunately short on capital means that significant
punting is out of the window, so I will have to settle for a £2.50 each way
double. Bookie profit margin shattering it might not be, but to fire the big
guns you need to fire the little guns first.
An ideal situation will give me plenty to play with for next
week, which sees Sawgrass return, and The Players Championship, which Rickie
out to contest his defence.
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