Wednesday 16 March 2016

Arnold & The Hero

It's fair to say that I'm distracted this week. Working in the industry, during Cheltenham, I can't see how you couldn't be, Fortunes won and lost, over a few fences. I couldn't pull my eyes away from the races today, and for that reason, I'll be short with the golf.

In the Arnold Palmer Invitation, tee to green ability will be of vital importance. Adam Scott leads the field in strokes gained tee to green, and will likely thrive here. A tasty little win on a friend's horse means I have little more firepower and have shovelled £22.50 each way on Adam at 8s (365). Fingers crossed the almighty Aussie can make it three in a row.

Rory is second to him in the field in this, but the way he threw away his lead last time out, leaves more than a little to be desired, especially at such short prices. I have however, had a little tipple on Rory, £5 win and a £5 ew double on him and Lahiri, to return £295, just in case the World Number 2 finds an ounce of form and reliability. (Betbright)

£5 ew on Fraser at 18s is also one for the heroes. £5 ew double on Lahiri and Scott is good too. Lahiri is in strumming form and is the defending champion here. As well as local boy.

Let's talk form since last year's win. Thirty Tournaments. Only six missed cuts. Three times in the top 5, 5th T5th and 2nd. Twice finishing between 6th and 10th. And 3 finishes from 11th to 25th. Ani's world ranking got as good as 34th after the last win and whilst he has already qualified for the Masters, every golfist wants a win coming in, and this could be his time. £10 at 7s is not a particularly great bet, but his value is in the double potential.

I couldn't not back Every, two time defending champion here, Strings of missed cuts preceded him last year, and the same has happened this year. StanJames are offering 6 places at 1/4 (better than Paddys 7 @ 1/5) at 70s which is a bargain. Snapped up.

Six placed for Pieters too. 3rd out last time in Thailand, this absolute slumper of the ball should do well here, with plenty of fairway for him to batter balls down. The big Flemish man has bags of power.

SuperSned is also back out this week. Probably. I love him. I can't deny it. Sned, or as my father calls him, BigFoot, after his size 13s, is a brutally insulting 45/1 this week. My hero will win again, and this track could suit. Excellent tee to green ability, and if putting rhythm is on tap, he will do well, very well. 6 places again, thanks to my man Stan. (James).

The second Scott this week uses the excellent name as his Christian instead of his surname and that is Scott Hend. Winner last time out in Thailand, and an insultingly big price of 28s. The eight time European tour winner has plenty of talent and should do well here.

Jason Scrivener is also on the up and up. A poor finish last week is easily overlooked. Tied 3rd the week before makes for much better reading, and I'm hoping for an all Aussie show this week. A minute double on the two Aussies at 50s and 8s will return over £1000 and that's where the support will be this week.

I backed Uihlein before the final round last week, and he disappointed. But he should do well here. Good form is infectious and he should feel good about last week. Two tied 4ths and a 9th in the last three weeks is exceptional form, and I expect Uihlein to perform here, or come off the boil completely.

There is no English player like Justin Rose at the moment, and whilst I consider 16s to be a bit short for him, his bloom is coming. Form figures of Tied 2nd, Tied 6th, 1st, Tied 7th, Tied 22nd, 13th, missed cut Tied 6th, Tied 16th and Tied 17th are encouraging. Can the English resistance over power the Aussie invaders? Also he's World Number 7.

Paul Casey is the other most interesting man in the field. Casey is off the back of a 7th place finish, and he should have done better. Oodles of talent, but short on wins, going without since 2014. Casey can, and Casey could.
Final mention to D man. They Daymanator. The Killer Kiwi, Jason devastated the competition with five wins in 2015. Brutalised everyone. Spieth was basically assaulted by how good Day was.

Day's day is not done, and 2016 really could be the Year of the Day.

Every week.

Every Day.

Day.

Dayum.


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